Starting the year with STRATEGY

Linda Carlisle • January 7, 2026

Focus on where rubber hits the road...
and try not to hit that stinkin' toad!

By almost all accounts, 2025 was a year of uncertainty. 2026 feels like it’s setting up to be more of the same. According to a December 2025 report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas, more than 1.1 million layoffs occurred in 2025, while a January 1 Newsweek headline announced that dozens of household-name companies, including Amazon and FedEx, are set to lay off thousands of employees in January.


This isn’t a year for aspirational strategy decks — it’s a year for adaptive, market-aware strategy that can move at the speed of uncertainty.


Global economic and social unrest, paired with the unknowable impacts of shifting tariffs and AI, have had “ripple down” effects on the business environment, causing business-as-usual to slam on the brakes. For example, what was once a thriving mid-market M&A environment became a deal desert throughout all of 2025, as business leaders opted to stay put, neither buying or selling, hiring or reorganizing until things settle down and become more predictable.


If the military incursion into Venezuela on January 3 is any indication, that’s not happening anytime soon.


While small and mid-sized businesses may not have a regular cadence around reassessing and rebuilding their STRATEGY, I come from a long career in corporate America, so I am accustomed to the annual ritual of launching new strategies to address the demands of a changing marketplace. Unfortunately, because of the frequency of many strategy refresh exercises, people within the organization sometimes label these “flavor of the month” strategies, particularly when operating in a business environment where precious little has fundamentally changed.


THAT IS DECIDEDLY NOT what we experienced this past year.

With that in mind (pardon the obvious for you corporate folks), this is an excellent time to take a moment to assess your business performance over the past year, document the major shifts you have experienced, how you responded as well as what you learned, and develop a comprehensive plan for how you plan to move forward in 2026 -- a year that may just as well be labeled Planning for Uncertainty: Part Deux.


Strategy isn’t the plan -- it’s the set of informed choices you’re prepared to revisit as conditions change. Therefore, rather than expounding on how to create a strategic plan, I will take a moment to share how I approached my planning cycle for 2026.


First, Look Backwards – what assumptions did you make going into 2025 that proved wrong, what happened instead, and what did you do about it? Was your pivot successful? Why or why not? What else could you have done to adjust for the changes and uncertainty that dominated the business environment?


Remember, for every emerging opportunity that seemed dashed by uncertainty in 2025, new opportunities arose for the same reason. As business leaders, our job is not to be so in love with the opportunity and solution that might have been perfect if things had been different that we are unable to identify evolving opportunities and provide must-have solutions to help our customers meet their emerging needs.


Get out of your office and ask others what they think. Be sure to ask your leadership team for their perspective on last year’s experience as well, because they may have been making adjustments on the fly to adapt to the unexpected curves the market threw your way. You will want to document these shifts and pivots to ensure that they are financially sustainable (assuming they worked) and to document the lessons learned for future reference.


Conduct a SWOT Analysis on your own operations, considering the business environment you are currently experiencing, and deliberately invest time and money in strengthening the parts of your business that are not well-suited for current opportunities and conditions.


Set New, Market-Informed OKR Targets – and shorten the 5-, 3-, and 1-year horizon and checkpoint cycles to include a deeper dive into semi-annual and quarterly analysis, providing enough time for strategies and tactics to take hold while avoiding over-committing to initiatives that are not meeting the market where it’s headed.


Keep an eye on the space where rubber hits the road. With rear-view analytics and your most realistic forecast firmly in hand, establish the strategies and tactics you plan to invest in for the year ahead, considering both internal and external strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. Allocate resources (money, time, staff) accordingly – and establish frequent milestones and checkpoints to track progress – considering not only your own operations, but the sustained viability of the objectives you’ve set and conditions on which they were based.


The risk in uncertain markets isn’t moving too slowly --
it’s committing too long to assumptions that no longer hold true.


According to a Jan 5 Axios newsletter, one of the most important themes to be mindful of in the year ahead is SITUATIONAL AWARENESS. Pay attention to what is happening, thoughtfully predict how it could impact the trajectory of your clients’ and your own operations, and adjust accordingly. Be curious! Explore emerging trends and opportunities.


Generally, this means adding a shorter-term lens to your planning and execution cycle, with two critical exceptions that could affect your future performance:


  • keep investing in people
  • continue to enable your business to innovate.


Extend your ‘inner circle’…

COMMUNICATE YOUR STRATEGY TO EVERYONE ON YOUR TEAM

Let more people into your headspace! As a business leader and strategist, you know why your current-year plan differs from how you usually roll…


  • shorter milestones
  • fewer initiatives
  • more frequent check-ins
  • far more performance-related questions
  • sudden pivots and pausing of projects


Your people will experience all of these changes first-hand – and, given human nature, they will assume their performance has something to do with why you are exerting more oversight and being more cautious. Your people’s fear, doubt, and uncertainty can derail their performance and undermine trust. To signal your continued faith in your team – and to continue building trust with them - approach your strategy roll-out and communications programs with ‘radical candor’ about your plan’s logic, and be transparent about what you do and do not know.


A more open and regular communication cadence can help your people align with the new market conditions and time horizon you are marching toward and prepare them for unexpected pivots and changes in marketplace demands. Your openness can ensure they are WITH YOU instead of AGAINST YOU as you make sharp turns and sudden stops along the way.


Add two-way communications and lots of opportunities for Q&A and dialogue into the communications mix, and this also sets your team up to become the extended set of eyes, ears, and feet on the street you need to pivot quickly as needed, identify opportunities as they emerge, and address marketplace shifts before they can adversely affect your business performance.

Thanks for taking the time to read my thoughts on how Strategy and Strategic Communications need to change in times of uncertainty.


___________________________________________

IN THE SPIRIT OF SHARING OUR WISDOM

Please comment on one thing you’ve shortened in your planning cycle this year.

If you’re wrestling with how to communicate strategy in motion, let’s talk.

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